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GPT-5.4 vs Claude Opus 4.6 vs Gemini 3.1 Pro: Which Flagship AI Model Wins in 2026?
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GPT-5.4 vs Claude Opus 4.6 vs Gemini 3.1 Pro: Which Flagship AI Model Wins in 2026?

EvoLink Team
EvoLink Team
Product Team
March 6, 2026
11 min read

Last updated: March 6, 2026 · Pricing verified as of March 2026

Claude Opus 4.6 leads coding quality across current vendor-reported results, Gemini 3.1 Pro delivers 1M context at $2/1M input (source: ai.google.dev pricing), and GPT-5.4 is now listed on OpenRouter at $2.50/$20 with 1M context and 128K max output. If you need to pick a model today, Gemini 3.1 Pro is still the best value for most workloads, Opus 4.6 is still strongest for complex coding and agent tasks, and GPT-5.4 should be evaluated in parallel through routing because public benchmark coverage is still limited.

Here's the full breakdown.

TL;DR

  • Gemini 3.1 Pro is the price-performance king: $2.00/$12.00 per 1M tokens with 1M context and 80.6% SWE-bench. Hard to beat for most production workloads.
  • Claude Opus 4.6 wins on coding quality: 80.8% SWE-bench (single-attempt table) and 81.42% with prompt modification, 128K max output, and Agent Teams for multi-agent orchestration — but prompts over 200K tokens use premium pricing ($10/$37.50 per 1M).
  • GPT-5.4 is now listed on OpenRouter: $2.50/$20 per 1M tokens, $0.625 cached input, 1M context, 128K max output. Independent benchmark coverage is still limited.
  • For budget-sensitive teams: GPT-5.2 at $1.75/$14 per 1M tokens with 400K context and 80.0% SWE-bench is still a strong contender.
  • Don't block delivery: Ship with Gemini 3.1 Pro or Claude Opus 4.6 now, and run GPT-5.4 side-by-side in your eval suite.

Quick Comparison Table

Every cell traced to a primary source. Pricing as of March 2026.

Claude Opus 4.6Gemini 3.1 ProGPT-5.4 (OpenRouter)GPT-5.2
ProviderAnthropicGoogle DeepMindOpenAIOpenAI
Status✅ Available✅ Available✅ Available via OpenRouter✅ Available
Context200K (1M beta, tier 4/custom limits)1M1M400K
Max output128K tokens64K tokens128K tokens128K tokens
Input (/1M)$5.00 (≤200K) / $10.00 (>200K)$2.00 (≤200K) / $4.00 (>200K)$2.50 (cached input: $0.625)$1.75
Output (/1M)$25.00 (≤200K) / $37.50 (>200K)$12.00 (≤200K) / $18.00 (>200K)$20.00$14.00
ReasoningExtended thinkingStandardPublic mode naming still limitedStandard + deep thinking
SWE-bench80.8% (single) / 81.42% (prompt mod.)80.6% (single)No widely accepted public number yet80.0%
Best forComplex coding, agent orchestrationLong-context, multimodal, valueEarly GPT-5.4 adoption and internal evalsBudget coding, general

Sources: anthropic.com/pricing · anthropic.com/docs/models/claude-opus-4-6 · ai.google.dev pricing · deepmind.google model card · platform.openai.com/docs/models/gpt-5.2 · openrouter.ai/openai/gpt-5.4

When to Use Each Model

Pick Claude Opus 4.6 if you need the best code quality

In DeepMind's comparison table, Opus 4.6 is listed at 80.8% SWE-bench (single attempt). Anthropic separately reports up to 81.42% with prompt modification and notes 25-trial averaging in methodology (source: anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6). The 128K max output is best-in-class — you can generate entire file diffs, full test suites, or multi-file refactors in a single response without truncation.

The Agent Teams feature is genuinely useful if you're building multi-agent systems. Opus can coordinate sub-agents, delegate tasks, and maintain context across orchestrated workflows.

The trade-off is cost. At ≤200K context, Opus is priced at $5/$25 per 1M tokens; above 200K, pricing moves to $10/$37.50. Relative to Gemini, the cost ratio is essentially unchanged across tiers (2.5× on input and ~2.08× on output).

Best scenarios: SWE-bench-style code repair, multi-agent pipelines, extended code generation (>64K output), safety-critical applications.

Pick Gemini 3.1 Pro if you want the best bang for your buck

Gemini 3.1 Pro offers a rare combination: 1M native context and genuinely competitive benchmarks at the lowest price point of any frontier model. At $2.00/$12.00 per 1M tokens (≤200K context), it's less than half the cost of Opus 4.6 while trailing by only 0.2 percentage points on SWE-bench.

Where Gemini really shines beyond coding:

  • GPQA Diamond: 94.3% — PhD-level science reasoning (highest of all models)
  • ARC-AGI-2: 77.1% — novel problem-solving
  • HLE: 44.4% — high-level exam performance
  • Terminal-Bench 2.0: 68.5% — terminal-based coding tasks
  • Native multimodal: text + image + audio + video input in a single model

The 64K max output is the main limitation compared to Opus's 128K.

Best scenarios: Long document analysis (legal, medical), multimodal applications (video/audio processing), cost-sensitive production APIs, codebases that fit in 1M context.

Use GPT-5.4 now if... you want early production signals

Current public listing data (OpenRouter):

  • 1M token context window
  • 128K max output
  • $2.50 / 1M input, $0.625 / 1M cached input, $20.00 / 1M output

What is still missing: broad, independent benchmark coverage across real production workloads.

Pragmatic approach: keep Gemini/Opus in production paths, route a controlled share of traffic to GPT-5.4, and promote only after your own evals pass.

Deep Dive: Context Window

ModelContext WindowNotes
Gemini 3.1 Pro1M tokensProduction-ready 1M context
GPT-5.41M tokensListed on OpenRouter
GPT-5.2400K tokensAvailable now
Claude Opus 4.6200K (1M beta)1M beta limited to tier 4/custom rate limits

For teams working with large codebases, legal documents, or research corpora, Gemini 3.1 Pro's production-grade 1M context is a clear advantage over Opus 4.6's standard 200K. Opus's 1M beta exists, but Anthropic API docs gate it behind usage tier 4 or custom rate limits.

Deep Dive: Reasoning Capabilities

ModelReasoning ModeKey Strength
Claude Opus 4.6Extended thinkingMulti-step debugging, architectural planning
Gemini 3.1 ProStandard (with thinking support)GPQA Diamond 94.3%, ARC-AGI-2 77.1%
GPT-5.4Public mode naming still limitedValidate with your own eval suite

Claude Opus 4.6's extended thinking is most effective for structured, multi-step reasoning: debugging complex code paths, analyzing system architectures, and working through long chains of dependencies.

Gemini 3.1 Pro's 94.3% GPQA Diamond score is genuinely impressive — this benchmark tests PhD-level science questions, and Gemini leads the field here. For research-oriented workloads, Gemini's reasoning breadth is a real advantage even without a branded "extended thinking" mode.

Deep Dive: Pricing & Cost Analysis

Cost Per Task (Estimated)

Based on typical token usage per task type. Prices at official rates.

TaskTokens (in/out)GPT-5.2Gemini 3.1 ProClaude Opus 4.6
Simple chat1K / 500$0.009$0.008$0.018
Code review (single file)5K / 2K$0.037$0.034$0.075
Long doc analysis100K / 5K$0.245$0.260$0.625
Full codebase (200K+ ctx)300K / 10K$0.665$1.380*$3.375**

*Gemini 3.1 Pro >200K context tier: $4.00/$18.00 per 1M tokens applies.

**Claude Opus 4.6 >200K premium long-context tier: $10.00/$37.50 per 1M tokens applies.

At high context utilization (>200K tokens), Gemini and Opus both move to higher pricing tiers, and their ratio remains roughly stable; the absolute dollar gap increases. The ranking shift is mostly versus GPT-5.2, where Gemini can become more expensive on very large-context tasks.

Through EvoLink (evolink.ai/models), you can access both Claude Opus 4.6 (from $4.13/1M input, -17%) and Gemini 3.1 Pro (from $1.60/1M input, -20%) at discounted rates via a unified OpenAI-compatible API.

Deep Dive: Coding Performance

ModelSWE-benchConditionsSource
Claude Opus 4.680.8% (single) / 81.42% (prompt mod.)Mixed sourcesdeepmind.google model card / anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6
Gemini 3.1 Pro80.6% (single)Google evaluationdeepmind.google model card
GPT-5.280.0%OpenAI evaluationplatform.openai.com
GPT-5.4No widely accepted public number yetAvailable via OpenRouter

Important caveat: SWE-bench scores from different vendors use different scaffolds and evaluation setups. The difference between 80.0%, 80.6%, and 80.8% is within the margin where test conditions matter more than model capability. Don't over-index on 0.2% differences.

What actually differentiates these models for coding in practice:

  • Opus 4.6: 128K max output means it can generate entire multi-file patches without truncation.
  • Gemini 3.1 Pro: 1M context lets you feed an entire codebase. Terminal-Bench 2.0 score of 68.5%.
  • GPT-5.2: The cheapest option at $1.75/1M input with 80.0% SWE-bench. Good enough for most code review and generation tasks.
Decision framework illustration

Decision Framework

Use this based on your primary constraint:

Budget is the constraint? → GPT-5.2 ($1.75/$14) or Gemini 3.1 Pro ($2/$12)
Need >200K context in production? → Gemini 3.1 Pro (1M native) — or pilot GPT-5.4 in routed traffic
Need maximum code quality + long output? → Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench, 128K output)
Need multimodal (video/audio input)? → Gemini 3.1 Pro (only model with native video + audio)
Building multi-agent systems? → Claude Opus 4.6 (Agent Teams feature)
Need PhD-level scientific reasoning? → Gemini 3.1 Pro (94.3% GPQA Diamond)
Want to access multiple models through one API? → EvoLink (evolink.ai) supports all three providers with discounted pricing and an OpenAI-compatible endpoint. Swap models without changing your code.

What About GPT-5.4? Should You Switch Now?

Short answer: don't hard-switch immediately; run a controlled rollout.

GPT-5.4 is now available through OpenRouter listing, but you should still validate quality, latency, and cost on your own workloads before full migration.

The pragmatic approach:

  1. Start building now with Gemini 3.1 Pro (best value) or Claude Opus 4.6 (best coding)
  2. Use an API gateway like EvoLink so you can switch models with a config change
  3. Evaluate GPT-5.4 immediately in your own benchmark suite
  4. Migrate if it wins — switching cost through a unified API is near zero

Also worth watching: DeepSeek V4 is in early access and could shake up the budget tier.

FAQ

Is GPT-5.4 better than Claude Opus 4.6?

It depends on your tasks, and there is still no broad independent benchmark consensus for GPT-5.4 yet. Claude Opus 4.6 is listed at 80.8% single-attempt in the DeepMind comparison table, and Anthropic reports up to 81.42% with prompt modification. Treat GPT-5.4 as a strong candidate to test, not an automatic replacement.

Which is cheaper: Claude Opus 4.6 or Gemini 3.1 Pro?

Gemini 3.1 Pro is significantly cheaper. At ≤200K context: $2.00/$12.00 vs Opus at $5.00/$25.00. At >200K context: $4.00/$18.00 vs Opus at $10.00/$37.50. The relative gap is nearly unchanged (2.5× input and ~2.08× output).

What is the context window of Gemini 3.1 Pro?

Gemini 3.1 Pro supports 1M tokens of context natively in production. This is the largest production context window among currently shipping frontier models.

Is GPT-5.4 available now?

GPT-5.4 is currently listed on OpenRouter with published token pricing and limits. Availability and billing details can still differ by provider and contract tier.

Can I use Claude Opus 4.6 with 1M context?

Claude Opus 4.6 has a standard 200K context window. A 1M beta is available but restricted to usage tier 4 or custom rate limits. For most developers, the practical limit is still 200K tokens.

Which model is best for coding?

On the single-attempt comparison table, Claude Opus 4.6 is 80.8%, followed by Gemini 3.1 Pro at 80.6% and GPT-5.2 at 80.0%. Anthropic also reports 81.42% for Opus with prompt modification. The differences are small — choose based on your budget and context window needs.

Is Gemini 3.1 Pro good for multimodal tasks?

Yes. Gemini 3.1 Pro is the only model in this comparison with native multimodal input supporting text, image, audio, and video in a single model. Claude and GPT support image input, but neither handles audio or video natively at the API level.


This page is updated as new information becomes available. Last checked: March 6, 2026.

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